Notes
Slide Show
Outline
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Proposal for an HFGW
Frequency Time Standard
for Telecommunication Network Optimization
 
Executive Summary Rev. B1, 10/18/06
G.V. Stephenson, C. Harper, & R.M.L. Baker Jr. PhD
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HFGW FTS Proposal
Executive Summary
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What do we plan to do?
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What are the benefits?
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What is the value?
Net Present Value Estimation
  • Cash Flow Positive on Year 4 -  four years from mature, lab proven technology
  • Net Present Value estimate based on 10 years of operation: $ 51.5 Billion


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What will make it happen?
Phase 1: HFGW Detection Experiment
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What will make it happen?
Phase 1: Scale of HFGW Detection Equipment
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What will make it happen?
Phase 2: HFGW Generation Experiment
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What will it cost?
What is the payback?
  • How much will it cost?


  • To fund detection and generation experiments (Phase 1 & 2) for proof of concept:
      • Plans and Specifications 4 Million
      • Fabrication 6 Million
      • Test 5 Million
      • Cushion 5 Million
    • Proof of Concept Phase       20 Million (for both experiments)

  • HFGW FTS Infrastructure Development,  Phase 3:
    • Development of HFGW FTS receivers for cell phone use 25 Million
    • Manufacture of  cell phone HFGW FTS receivers 25 Million
    • Four stations @ 25 Million each 100 Million
  • Total Developmental Cost (Phases 1,2,& 3)        170 Million


  • How much and how will it pay back?


  • Licensing and Technical Support:
    • 5% of 50 Billion  in 10 years or  2.5 Billion
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~ Backup Slides ~
HFGW Frequency Time Standard
for Telecommunication Network Optimization
 
Executive Summary Rev. B1, 10/18/06
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What is the value?
Improvement Value Estimation
  • For search space improvements we choose 25%.
  • For higher density phase encoding due to phase noise improvement, we choose 200%.
  • For frequency-based improvements, we choose 25% for an overall raw capacity improvement floor of 250%.
  • For better beam-forming due to precision positioning, we choose not to include this technology in the low side estimate since it is somewhat speculative. For the high side estimate 50% is used.
  • For cell-handoff and precision Quality of Service (QoS) improvements due to precision timing, we choose an overall value improvement of 200%.  Here, we apply the term QoS to network usage prioritization and predictability with respect to performance parameters including delay, error rate, and throughput.
  • Even as a floor, we significantly reduce these expected low-side improvements prior to further use in our dollar valuation model to reinforce its conservative nature.
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What is the value?
Subscriber Value Estimation
  • Applying these multipliers to a conventional High Bit Rate Wireless Market Offer (conservatively—for this model—priced at $100/month/2Mbps), we obtain a reference MRC/subscriber low-side value added due to the HFGW FTS of $275 (Table 2).
  • Note that MRC = Monthly Recurring Charge.  This includes a 25% $/mbps discount from conventional costs due to supply increase and demand elasticity.
  • Further, in all significant cash flows (post year 2), we utilize a still more conservative estimate ranging from ~75-15% of this reference value.
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What will make it happen?
Suggested Next Steps
  • First Step – Design, develop, fund, and perform HFGW detection experiments to detect background (relic) GW radiation to prove detection technology.
    • One example approach: Li, Baker, & Chen, 2007
  • Second Step – Design, develop, fund, and perform HFGW generation experiments to generate GW radiation in a laboratory environment.
    • One example approach: Woods & Baker, 2005
    • Use previously proven detection approach
  • Near Term Development – Develop and miniaturize HFGW technology for use in the FTS application.
  • Long Term Follow-on – Develop HFGW technology for use as a communication medium.